The Iran War Expert: I Simulated The Iran War for 20 Years. Here’s What Happens Next

White House war advisor ROBERT PAPE reveals why Trump is trapped in a war with Iran, the risk of a nuclear breakout, the role of China in the conflict, and how the US is losing control of the Middle East.

Robert Pape is a renowned political scientist and director of the Chicago Project on Security and Threats. He has advised every White House since 9/11 on military strategy and is the author of Bombing to Win: Air Power and Coercion in War.

He explains:
▪️The 3 stages of the escalation trap locking the US into war
▪️Why precision smart bombs trick leaders into strategic failure
▪️The hidden reality of Iran's 400kg enriched uranium stockpile
▪️How killing the Supreme Leader made the Iranian regime more resilient
▪️The pattern that connects Vietnam, Afghanistan, Iraq and Iran

00:00 Intro
01:58 What’s Really Happening In The World Right Now
04:04 I’ve Worked With The White House For The Last 20 Years
08:59 What Really Happened When The U.S. Bombed Iran’s Nuclear Sites
12:00 Does Removing A Leader Actually End A Regime - Or Backfire?
16:08 Iran’s New Supreme Leader May Be Even More Hostile To The U.S.
26:07 The Escalation Scenario Few People Are Talking About
41:15 Ads
43:14 What The Next U.S.–Iran War Could Actually Look Like
47:34 What Happens If The U.S. Hadn’t Bombed Iran - Would War Be Worse?
52:09 Does Trump Really Influence Netanyahu’s Decisions?
54:05 Are Trump’s Global Decisions Driven By Legacy?
01:04:33 Could The World Be Heading Toward Another Genocide?
01:05:54 What Happens After “Stage 3”?
01:07:17 Ads
01:12:14 China’s Quiet Strategy For Global Dominance
01:13:18 Is America’s Superpower Era Ending And Is China Next?
01:16:32 Why China May Benefit From A U.S. Conflict With Iran
01:22:54 The Real Long-Term Prize The U.S. Is Fighting For

Enjoyed the episode? Share this link and earn points for every referral - redeem them for exclusive prizes: https://doac-perks.com

Follow Robert:
X - https://x.com/ProfessorPape
LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/robert-pape/
Substack - https://substack.com/@professorrobertpape

The Diary Of A CEO:
▪️Join DOAC circle here - https://doaccircle.com/
▪️Buy The Diary Of A CEO book here - https://smarturl.it/DOACbook
▪️The 1% Diary is back - limited time only: https://bit.ly/3YFbJbt
▪️The Diary Of A CEO Conversation Cards (Second Edition): https://g2ul0.app.link/f31dsUttKKb
▪️Get email updates - https://bit.ly/diary-of-a-ceo-yt
▪️Follow Steven - https://g2ul0.app.link/gnGqL4IsKKb

Sponsors:
Stan - https://coach.stan.store/?ref=stevenbartlett&utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=episode1
Fiverr - https://fiverr.com/diary and get 10% off your first order when you use code DIARY
Wispr - Get 14 days of Wispr Flow for free at https://wisprflow.ai/steven