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History Does Not Support the Prediction
Ortiz has gone the distance in close fights with Vasiliy Lomachenko and Teofimo Lopez. He has absorbed heavy shots from fighters with proven power and stayed upright. His durability has been tested in ways that Davis’ has not.
Davis has been hurt before. Against Nahir Albright, a fighter without a reputation for power, Davis was visibly shaken and had to adjust. That moment remains part of the record, even if Davis does not discuss it. Ortiz has the size and timing to exploit openings if Davis pushes too hard early.
“It’s a fun matchup. The fans are buying into it,” Davis said in an interview with Fight Hub TV. “They’re like, ‘I actually like this.’ That kind of gets me more excited. I just can’t wait until I knock him out on January 31st.”
Moving Up Without EvidenceDavis is stepping into a division where fighters carry more natural weight and punch harder over longer stretches. His lightweight run was solid but not overwhelming. The Lemos stoppage aside, most of his wins came on points against opponents who either faded or were outsized. Ortiz has fought junior welterweights who were bigger and stronger than anyone Davis has faced.
The prediction may serve Davis’ promotional needs, but it does not align with what Ortiz has shown across 21 professional fights. Davis has power, but it has not been tested against someone with Ortiz’ dimensions and defensive habits. If the fight goes past four rounds, the narrative shifts.
“The last time I said I was going to knock somebody out, they said there was no way,” Davis said. “And I did it in the second round.”
That was Lemos. Ortiz is not Lemos.
Whether that approach holds against a fighter who has never been stopped will be decided in the ring.
